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Muddy Waters bites back at Burford Capital’s report defence


30 August 2019 New York
Reporter: Maddie Saghir

Generic business image for news article
Image: Shutterstock
Muddy Waters Research has accused Burford Capital, provider of specialised finance to the legal market, of “significant deception” in its
response to the investigative short-seller’s report on Burford’s alleged financial mismanagement and misleading investors.

Earlier this week, in the latest episode of the draw out and public spat between two firms, Muddy Waters dismissed speculation that its claims about major errors in Burford’s 2013 annual report were wrong by simply responding: “No. Don’t be silly.”

In an expanded response, Muddy Waters explained: “We stated that beginning with Burford’s 2013 Annual Report, Burford egregiously manipulated its return on invested capital (ROIC) and internal rate of return (IRR) on a $7.4 million investment by categorising Napo Pharmaceuticals as a win with a significant return when it should have been a loss.”

Muddy Waters initially revealed it was shorting Burford Capital on 7 August as the firm’s researchers believed they had uncovered errors in Burford’s 2013 Annual Report that meant it was in a much weaker financial state than it was leading its investors to believe.

Burford returned fire by accusing Muddy Waters of a ‘short attack’ based on evidence that was “false and misleading”.

In a cutting response, Muddy Waters said: “Leave it to former trial lawyers to talk so much, and yet say so little. Burford’s written response and numbing two-hour call did nothing to dispel our view that Burford a) aggressively marks its cases up to generate non-cash profits, b) manipulates its (non-International Financial Reporting Standards) ROIC and IRR metrics in order to justify its fair value gains, c) deliberately confuses investors about the extent of its fair value gains in each period, and d) has a fragile balance sheet with too much leverage, particularly given the excessive costs the business runs (of which a significant portion could be management compensation).”

Just a few days later on 15 August, the Muddy Waters further claimed that analysis of Burford’s defence by Qverity, a behavioral analysis and screening services provider, strongly indicates that Burford’s management was deceptive in their written and verbal responses to the Muddy Waters’ report.

In its report, Qverity, which is staffed by former US deception spy experts from the Central Intelligence Agency, said that the most inadvertently revealing statement in the response was John Lazar’s [Burford’s director] comment that he read the report “knowing there was no smoking gun”.

The Qverity report reads: “He [John Lazar] appears to be attempting to communicate that he read the report, knowing that none of it is accurate and they didn’t do anything wrong. What he instead conveys with this unintended message is that he was told in advance there wasn’t a ‘smoking gun’ or in other words, concrete evidence of what they’re doing.”

Elsewhere in the report, Qverity suggests that deceptive behaviour detailed in this report were identified in Burford’s responses and fell primarily into three categories of deceptive behaviour: “evasion, aggression, and persuasion”.

Meanwhile, Muddy Waters has said it welcomes scrutiny by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA).

In a further statement, Muddy Waters said: “We believe that [Burford] management’s conduct has possibly given rise to sanctions claims by the FCA. Muddy Waters stands ready to assist the FCA in any inquiry, and as has been the case for the past nine years of our short activism, we have nothing to hide regarding our own actions.”

Burford’s share price dropped significantly following the release of the initial report before rallying somewhat later in the month. At the time of writing, it is up 12 percent.

Ihor Dusaniwsky, managing director predictive analytics for S3 Partners, commented: “BUR LN short interest is $163 million; 19.48 million shares shorted; 9.75 percent of its float; stock borrow fee in 0.50 percent fee.”

S3 data shows that the amount Burford shares being shorted has increased by 522 percent of the past month, representing 16.35 million shares, as its share price fell 53.4 percent over the same period.

“Short selling has abated recently as some short sellers have trimmed their positions to take profits. We saw 1.85 million shares of short covering over the last week, down 8.7 percent, even as BUR LN’s stock price fell an additional 22.8,” Dusaniwsky said.

Shorting of Burford is up $58.8 million in year-to date mark-to-market profits, with the vast majority of profits ($54.2 million) being generated in August alone, Dusaniwsky explained.
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